0218 GMT [Dow Jones] HSI +0.2% at 25719.35, may consolidate more today, mainly awaiting cues from U.S. Taifook notes market volume slipped to HK$73.74 billion Monday vs daily average of nearly HK$100 billion last week, says anticipation of FOMC meeting results, 1Q GDP figure may keep investors sidelined. Outperforming blue chips include Bank of China (3988.HK), +2.3% at HK$3.98 after robust 1Q08 results, CNOOC (0883.HK) +1.9% at HK$14.18 on crude strength, inline 1Q; but Shenhua (1088.HK) tumbles 4.6% to HK$35.95 after investor, reported to be Anglo American, sold large chunk of old shares. Market volume seems strong at HK$13.556 billion in opening minutes, but almost half comes from Shenhua; 26000 still stern resistance for HSI.(RLI)
Dow Jones Newswires April 28, 2008 22:18 ET (02:18 GMT), MarketTalk@dowjones.com
0318 GMT [Dow Jones] Nymex crude oil futures will likely hold steady before FOMC announces rate decision tomorrow, says Li Rong, senior analyst with Shanghai-based Great Wall Futures; “the market is shifting focus to the Fed from production outages in the UK and Nigeria. Due to considerable uncertainty about the Fed’s decision, traders may hold steady - so crude won’t likely hit $120 tonight in floor trading.” June Nymex crude last at $118.50, down 25 cents.(RYP)
0402 GMT [Dow Jones] HSI extends gains, +1.4% at 26031.32 and over 26000 mark for 1st time since mid-January; volume strong at HK$44.350 billion. Celestial Securities’ Eugene Law notes HK stands out in otherwise tepid regional markets; despite some link between day’s strength and April HSI futures’ settlement, Law adds market strength (up for 6 of past 7 days) is in part driven by funds short-covering. “Hong Kong is always a higher-beta market in the regional context. Some funds probably raised cash levels too high, and are now buying back stocks.” Adds momentum may take index to test 27000. 40 of 43 blue chips higher though top cap China Mobile (0941.HK) lags, +0.7% at HK$136.70 after Goldman Sachs cuts it to Neutral from Buy.(RLI)
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April 29, 2008 00:02 ET (04:02 GMT)
Strategi Trading ini dibuat dengan menggunakan perhitungan Pivot Point mingguan , yang digabungkan dengan Candestick Pattern (pola). Penentuan moment ENTRY dan EXIT menggunakan analisa kombinasi pola Candlestick Charting time frame 15 menit untuk Nikei dan 5 menit untuk Hangseng dengan nilai pivot point yang berfungsi sebagai resistant dan support. Resiko (cut loss) Minor High (MH) artinya harga tertinggi sebelum harga market bergerak turun yaitu pada tgl april 2008 di angka atau atau 90 pips untuk posisi SELL dan Minor Low (ML) artinya harga terendah sebelum harga market bergerak naik yaitu pada tgl april 2008 di angka atau atau 90 pips untuk Posisi BUY. Lihat tabel perhitungan Pivot Point dibawah.
| Index Futures Symbol |
Hangseng (HSI8J) |
Nikei (SSI8M) |
| Resistant 3 (R3) | 25812 | 14955 |
| Resistant 2 (R2) | 25136 | 14330 |
| Resistant 1 (R1) | 24935 | 14115 |
| Pivot Point (Pv) | 24259 | 13490 |
| Support 1 (S1) | 24058 | 13275 |
| Support 2 (S2) | 23382 | 12650 |
| Support 3 (S3) | 23181 | 12435 |
Moment ENTRY sbb : Jika harga mendekati/menyentuh atau menembus garis pivot yang kemudian diikuti pola candlestik reversal, biasanya candlestick grup DOJI dan UMBRELLA atau pola lain seperti Engulfing dan Harami, maka waktunya untuk order. INGAT : Strategi ini membutuhkan kesabaran dan displin yang cukup (Ketekunan dan Konsistensi menjadi kunci keberhasilan trading!!!).
Moment EXIT sbb : kebalikan dari moment entry atau profit sesuai dengan target anda. Biasanya saya menggunakan perhitungan 2 x (cutt loss + komisi). Perhatikan market Nikei buka tgl 23/4/08, kotak hijau adalah pola harami berada di garis pivot 13490 dan harga berada di LOW (candlestick at the bottom), kemungkinan menjadi harga terendah minggu itu (minggu ke 17 2008). Demikian juga dengan grafik Hangseng tgl. 24&25/04/08, itu adalah candlestick grup umbrella, yang berada disekitar R3 yang menjadi TOP minggu itu.
Grafik Hangsseng (5menit) :
http://hottrading01.blogdetik.com/2008/04/28/strategi-trading-candlestick-pattern-i/nikei-15-menit/
Catt : Untuk indeks nikei tidak mengikusertakan pergerakan harga sesi III (pasar singapur). GOOD LUCK!!